Atlantic disturbance has 50% chance of forming a cyclone in a week

29 July, 11.30am:

An area of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Ocean has a 50% chance of turning into a weak cyclone within seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

But it is very unlikely to occur before passing Montserrat, and currently poses no threat to the island.

In its 8am forecast on Monday, 29 July, the Florida-based weather centre said the weather system is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next couple of days.

“Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter,” the forecast said.

A tropical depression could form later this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas, it added.

In a Facebook post at 5pm on Sunday, 28 July, the Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency said it was closely monitoring the disturbance.

“According to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services, the threat of a storm remains little to none, *AT THIS TIME*, with the risk of winds, rainfall and seas being low or very low.

“No action is required other than having your hurricane plan in place for the peak of the season,” the post read.

 

Information on how to prepare for a hurricane is available in the DMCA’s 2024 Hurricane Preparedness Guide here.

Visit the National Hurricane Center for the latest weather updates at www.nhc.noaa.gov